Sydney Financial Mathematics Workshop

Sponsored by

National Australia Bank


Copula and other dependence concepts for applications in Risk Management

Pavel Shevchenko
Mathematical and Information Sciences, Sydney, CSIRO

Time: 5:15--7:00 pm
Date: Monday 3rd December 2001
Venue: Ground Floor, AAP Seminar Room, 259 George St

Abstract

We look at the problem of constructing multivariate distributions consistent with given marginal distributions and dependence measures. Although copulas, rank correlations and other dependence concepts have been known for a long time they are of recent use in risk management. In the case of multivariate normal distributions linear correlation determines the dependence structure in a unique way. However, it is not an appropriate dependence measure in the case of non-normal multivariate distributions and it can be very misleading.

We discuss potential shortcomings and pitfalls.

VaR is not a coherent measure for non-normal risks because it does not satisfy the sub-additivity property. We give examples when VaR for risk aggregation is larger the sum of the individual VaRs in the aggregation.

Reference Books


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